2026 Econometric Models of Climate Change Conference
EMCC-X
The 10th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC-X) will be held at Aalborg University, Denmark, on August 20-21, 2026.
The conference will be held at CREATE, Department of Architecture, Design, and Media Technology at Aalborg University. Rendsburggade 14, 9000 Aalborg.
Draft Program (version as of July 29, 2026)
Day 1 - 20th of August
08:30-09:00 Registration Open
09:10-09:20 Welcome
09:20-10:20 Talk Slot 1: Climate Econometrics and Applied Evidence
- Alessandro Giovannelli — Forecasting ENSO with High-Dimensional time series.
- Feridoon Koohi-Kamali — The dynamic common corelated spill-over effects estimation of budget neutral environmental policy & risk preference for transition to a low carbon economy-with application to the OECD.
- Mikkel Bennedsen — The kinematics of global temperature: Semiparametric analysis of trend, warming rate, and acceleration.
10:20-10:50 Break
10:50-12:00 Spotlight Slot 1: Methods in Climate Time-Series Econometrics
- José Alves — Climate Resilience and the Adaptation Trap: A Macroeconomic Framework for Joint Fiscal–External Sustainability.
- Giacomo Toscano — Nonparametric estimation of temperature shock volatility.
- Yin Shi — Forecasting Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Canada: An Empirical Macroeconomic Framework.
- Dennis Cordes — Modeling Spatio-Temporal Peer Effects in Count Data for Residential Photovoltaic Adoption.
- Ruriko Yoshida — Inference on Edge Weights and Temporal Lags in Discrete Max-Linear Bayesian Networks.
- Cheyenne Amoroso — A Dynamic Nonlinear Panel Decomposition Model for the Global Environmental Kuznets Curve.
- Sebastian Mathias Jensen — Neural networks for nonlinear regression with serially correlated disturbances: Evidence from cloud cover.
12:00-13:00 Lunch
13:00-14:00 Talk Slot 2: Arctic Dynamics and Sea Ice
- Alessandra Canepa — From Shocks to Feedbacks: Regime-Dependent Persistence in Arctic Temperature Anomalies.
- Siem Jan Koopman — An assessment of statistical predictive models for Arctic sea ice projections.
- Felix Pretis — Who Opens the Arctic: The Impact of Sea Ice and Global Economic Shocks on Arctic Vessel Traffic.
14:00-14:30 Break
14:30-15:40 Spotlight Slot 2: Climate-Growth and Macroeconomic Impacts
- Sachintha Fernando — Donor Pool Selection in Synthetic Controls: Lessons from Carbon tax Evaluations.
- Stefano Ninfole — Econometric Modelling of Norwegian CO2 Emissions.
- Haodong Qi — Climate Risks and Subjective Well-being: Insights from Human Flourishing Geographic Index (USA, 2013-2023).
- Dhruv Akshay Pandit — The impacts of weather anomalies on international tourism demand.
- Francisco Javier Martinez Ramirez — The effects of temperature and rainfall anomalies on macroeconomic variables: The case of Mexico.
- Niki Demosthenous — Heterogeneous Firm Belief Updating to Climate News Shocks.
- Marina Friedrich — Evaluating the robustness of REDD+ project impacts on avoided deforestation in Amazonian Brazil across synthetic control methods.
15:40-16:10 Break
16:10-17:30 Talk Slot 3: Extremes, Hazards, and Adaptation
- Moritz Schwarz — Using the statistical IAM-emulator statIAM to empirically constrain energy system results.
- Marco Bidoia — Dynamic Models for Climate Extremes.
- Chenhui Wang — Estimation and inference for the persistence of extremely high temperatures.
- Markus Fritsch — On the process of threshold exceedances of precipitation series under unknown heterogeneity and dependence.
17:30 END OF DAY 1
18:30 Dinner at Det Glade Vanvid.
Day 2 - 21st of August
09:00-10:20 Talk Slot 4: Climate-Growth and Macroeconomic Impacts
- Luca Benati — Estimating the Long-Run Impact of Climate Change on GDP.
- Marius Just — Evidence on the Climate-Growth Relationship.
- Menghan Yuan — Interactive Climate Effects on Economic Growth.
- C. Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero — Economic Outlook from Climate Conditions.
10:20-10:50 Break
10:50-12:00 Spotlight Slot 3: Energy Systems and Renewable Transitions
- Diego Alejandro Prieto Melo — Quantifying the Quiet Creep: Degradation of 15,000 Wind Turbines in Germany.
- Shanmukha Srinivas Byrukuri Gangadhar — Experience with Extreme Events and Wind Energy Impact: Causal Evidence from Flood Exposure, Wind Energy, and Housing Markets.
- Carolina García-Martos — Structural Changes in Trend-Seasonal Decompositions for Climate and Energy Time Series.
- Reza Modarres — Meteorological drought volatility in Iranian areas has either increased or decreased during 1952-2022.
- Subir Sen — Extreme Climatic Events and Insurance Consumption: A Study of selected Asian Economies.
- Sania Wadud — Persistence in Chinese Climate Policy Uncertainty
- Matthias Wirth — Recovering continuous-time parameters of a k-box energy balance model from a discrete-time CVAR.
12:00-13:00 Lunch
13:00-14:00 Talk Slot 5: Carbon, Emissions, and Climate Policy
- Paul Haimerl — Identifying the Carbon Sink Saturation Threshold.
- Tobias Eibinger — Zero fare, cleaner air? The causal effect of free public transportation on transport emissions.
- Bent Jesper Christensen — Intermittency and the potential of wind energy for CO2 abatement.
14:00-14:30 Break
14:30-15:30 Talk Slot 6: Methods in Climate Time-Series Econometrics
- Giovanni Urga — Common Green Bubbles Detection in Real Time.
- Philipp Sibbertsen — Change-Point Testing for Spectral Densities under Cyclical Long Memory.
- Tommaso Proietti — Trend Filtering with Fractional Splines.
15:30-15:45 Closing Remarks
15:45 END OF CONFERENCE
Organising Committee
Local Organisers
- Olivia Kvist, PhD Student in Climate Econometrics, Aalborg University, Denmark.
- J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés, Associate Professor of Mathematics-Economics, Aalborg University, Denmark.
Conference Board
- Marina Friedrich, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Eric Hillebrand, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Felix Pretis, University of Victoria, Canada
- Tommaso Proietti, U. degli Studi di Roma “Tor Vergata”, Italy
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Sponsors
This event is supported by the Danish Data Science Academy DDSA and Carlsberg Foundation (Grant CF25-2085).
